Today’s Most Reliable Football Ticket With Secure Goal Picks
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK – Over 0.5 First Half & Over 1.5 FT (1.63)
This is one of the most reliable goal spots of the day. Sturm Graz rarely starts slow in home derbies - 12 of their last 15 home matches had a first-half goal, and they’ve conceded in 10 of their last 12 matches overall.
Grazer AK plays with high intensity from the opening whistle, especially in this city rivalry. In 7 of their last 9 away games, we saw at least one first-half goal, and Sturm’s defensive instability adds even more value.
Given the emotional nature of the derby, early pressure, and both teams’ tendency to attack rather than sit deep, a goal before halftime and at least two overall is the most realistic scenario.
Brighton vs West Ham – Over 2.5 Goals (1.58)
Brighton remain one of the most open teams in the Premier League. Their matches average 3.3 goals this season, and they have kept only one clean sheet in their last 11 games. Their defensive issues continue due to missing key players, while their attack still produces a high number of chances.
West Ham arrives nearly full-strength and has scored in 13 of their last 15 matches. When these teams meet, matches naturally become open: 5 of the last 6 head-to-heads went over 2.5 goals.
Everything points toward another high-tempo match with chances on both ends.
Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim – Over 0.5 First Half & Over 2.5 FT (1.55)
This is one of the most statistically consistent over spots in Europe today. Hoffenheim matches average 3.6 goals per game, and they have the league’s highest both-teams-to-score percentage (over 70%).
Dortmund meanwhile is dealing with rotation and fatigue, making them more vulnerable defensively. They’ve conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches and often start aggressively when playing at home.
Both clubs have scored first-half goals in over 70% of their matches this season, and Hoffenheim has the league’s highest rate of scoring or conceding in the first 20 minutes.
A perfect recipe for goals early and throughout the match.
Tondela vs Porto – Porto Over 1.5 Goals (1.42)
Porto dominates this matchup in quality, depth, and chance creation. Even without Veiga, Porto averages 1.9 goals per match and generates some of the highest xG numbers in the league.
Tondela’s defense struggles heavily - they’ve conceded 2+ goals in 5 of their last 7 home matches, and Porto has scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 meetings.
Given Porto’s ball control and Tondela’s inability to defend for long periods, two Porto goals is a highly logical expectation.
Raków vs Katowice – Over 0.5 First Half & Over 1.5 FT (1.50)
Despite injuries, Raków still plays structured attacking football at home. They’ve scored in 14 straight home matches, while Katowice has conceded in 10 of their last 12 away games.
Raków matches frequently see early pressure - 8 of their last 11 games had a first-half goal. Katowice often relies on counterattacks but struggles to maintain defensive discipline.
This sets up a match that should naturally produce at least one early goal and comfortably reach two by full time.
Combined odds for this safe-ticket selection stand at 8.50, offering a strong balance of value and reliability.