Why Udinese Can Score Against Juventus (1.68)

December 2, 2025

Match Context & First Impression

This fixture puts Juventus as the expected dominant side at home, but that doesn’t automatically shut the door on Udinese finding a goal. In fact, Udinese tend to play with more direct movement when facing stronger opponents, often creating chances from quick transitions, set pieces and second balls around the box.

While Juventus control most matches territorially, they do leave occasional gaps when pushing high - something Udinese have the pace and physicality to exploit.

Udinese’s Attacking Threat

Udinese are not a team that simply parks the bus and waits. Their style is built around:

  • direct forward passes
  • strong wing presence
  • physical duels in the box
  • pressure on second balls

Even in away matches, they usually manage to produce a handful of shots on target, often generating one or two real chances regardless of the opponent’s stature.

They don’t need to dominate the game - they just need one clean moment, which they have shown repeatedly they are capable of creating.

Juventus’ Defensive Vulnerability

Juventus are strong at home, but their defensive structure is not always flawless.

They have had periods this season where they concede chances in:

  • fast counter-attacks
  • wide defensive overloads
  • moments after losing the ball high up

They are not a guaranteed clean-sheet machine, and against a team like Udinese - which plays vertically and without fear - that becomes an important factor.

This match-up naturally leans towards Juventus controlling possession, but giving away one or two real opportunities is very much in the realm of possibility.

Why the Pick Has Value at 1.68

The number matters - and 1.68 is genuinely a good price for what this match-up suggests.

A few reasons:

  • Udinese consistently create chances even away from home
  • Juventus’ defensive line is not unbreakable this season
  • The style clash (Juventus possession vs Udinese direct play) creates goal moments
  • Udinese do not shy away from attacking transitions
  • Historically, this fixture rarely stays completely quiet

You are not betting on Udinese to dominate - just to take advantage of the few windows they will inevitably get.
And at 1.68, that is a value angle worth trying.

Final Verdict

Juventus will control large stretches of the match, but Udinese have the tools to grab a goal if they catch the right moment. Their approach fits perfectly with the weaknesses Juventus sometimes show when pushed into defensive transitions.

If you like value picks over “obvious” ones, this is one of those plays that make sense.

Pick: Udinese to Score – Odds 1.68
Reasoning: Good value for a realistic scenario – worth trying.